nevada, and ohio. >> finally, the long ball, pennsylvania. if they can get pennsylvania, it changes the maps entirely. but having been through this before, the day before an election, the interesting thing, both sides are convinced they're going to win. both sides. >> do you still believe that? >> i still believe they're convinced they're going to win because they both believe it's going to be about turnout. it obviously favors the president right now. both campaigns believe they're going to win. >> nicole, you talk a lot to the romney campaign, one of the reasons they believe they're going to win because they believe they have a big advantage with the independent voters? >> that's right. and they believe despite the interruption and momentum caused by the tragic storm that hit us here on east coast. they believe they've had the momentum since the debate's ended and recaptured their candidates mojo, if you will. they see the enthusiasm. 30,000 people at a rally in pennsylvania. i've been to many rallies in pennsylvania with more than one cand